RESPONSIBLE EXCUSES:
CRYPTO BURST
ALTHOUGH I BELIEVE THE TECHNOLOGY WILL SURVIVE AS A BONE IN THE TRANSACTION SYSTEM, BUT THE HIKE MADE IN IT IS ARTIFICIAL, AND WILL CRACKED AFTER A BIG BURST. PEOPLE INVESTED IN THIS, WILL COME TO COVER THEIR MONEY FROM THE WITHDRAWAL FROM STOCKS OR MUTUAL FUNDS, WHICH WILL GIVE A RAISE TO SELLING.
ONLINE PORTAL
EVERYTHING HAS COME TO ONLINE AND BIG ONLINE COMPANIES ARE PLAYING WITH INVESTOR’S MONEY OR MAKING LOSSES. MANY LIVES WILL HAVE TO ADJUST THEMSELVES IN OFFLINE, IF SUCH PORTALS SHOWS BECOME FROUDSTER OR CLOSE THEIR LOSS MAKING BUSINESSES. PEOPLE WILL NEED MONEY FOR ADJUSTING IN SITUATION AND FOR THE SAME THEY WILL HAVE TO WITHDRAW FROM MARKET.
DII ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES
THE LAST RALLY IN FIRST HALF OF 2017 WAS CREATED BY DII (WITH THE HELP OF RETAILER’S INVESTMENT IN MUTUAL FUNDS). IF SOME OF THE DII’S ARE FOUND TO BE LINKED WITH ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES. PEOPLE WILL RUSH TO WITHDRAW THEIR MONEY FROM SUCH FUNDS AND A GOOD SELLING WILL BE SHOWN.
GOVERNMENT FAILURE
RETAILERS AND EVEN DII’S HAVE, MOST OF THOSE ARE INVESTED IN MARKET LOOKING AT THE FUTURE OF INDIA UNDER MR. MODI (PRIME MINISTER OF INDIA). IF UNFORTUNATELY GOVERNMENT FAILS, LARGE SELLING CAN BE STARTED WITH RAPID SPEED.
INTERNATIONAL CRISIS
ON ACCOUNT OF INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, EVEN FII’S RUSH TO LIQUIDATE THEIR MONEY FROM MARKET THAT CAN BE AFFECTED. INDIA IS IN PROGRESSIVE MODE, SO IT IS IN SITUATION OF BEING VERY SENSITIVE OF INTERNATIONAL NEWS.
FOR THE RALLY TO BE CONTINUED A CONBINATION OF MANY FACTORS NEEDED, BUT FOR CRASH A GOOD REASON IS SUFFICIENT.
( it can take weeks / months, in coming any reason to work)
SAFETY:
FOR THE PEOPLE LOOKING FOR LONG - TERM INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IT ‘LL BE BETTER TO SIT WITH THEIR MONEY AND WAITING FOR THE MARKET TO BOUNCE BACK AFTER BEING UNDER-VALUED OR CAN TAKE HEDGE POSITIONS. ONE OF THE SAFEST PLACE IN MARKET WHICH HAS VERY LESS AFFECTED FROM THE MARKET MOVEMENT IS, NIFTY 301-500. FUNDAMENTALLY AND TECHNICALLY SOUND STOCKS CAN BE CHOSEN FROM THIS RANGE. BUT WITH STOP-LOSS.
(DISCLAIMER: this analysis based on the study of historic cases and data. History has a tendency to repeat itself but doesn’t guarantee when.)