What will happen if Deep ITM option exercised due to liquidity problem?
E.g. -
Suppose I buy deep ITM Call option of March expiry of a Stock which is not in the physical delivery list (say Ashok Leyland or Yes Bank). Current stock price is 85 and DITM option Strick Price is 65. Are all the below points correct, considering stock price will go up till 95.
Call option premium will also increase to around 30 (95 - 65) considering stock closed at 95 on expiry and DITM Strick Price Delta above 0.9.
STT will be on the entire contract value.
(4000 + 65) * 30 * 0.125 = 15,243/-
Profit will be Lot Size * (Current Premium - Premium Paid) - STT i.e. 4000 * (30 - 15) - 15243 = 44,757/-
@AtD it is true that we will end up in profit in deep itm options even if exercised.
But nithin demonstrated in one of my questions why squaring off will yield same or better profit
Secondly u say liquidity problem. For march as u approach the march end that contract will always have good liquidity and OI. So we need not let it expire
@atd if u take far month options we will have to pay higher premulium because time value will be more.
Option premium = intrinsic value + time value
Now if open interest is not built on say may expiry it depends on option writer and buyer negotiation as well.
Buying same month expiry at the start of the month is ideal.
Having said that as election is on may some will buy deep OTM puts like 9900 just like a lottery ticket.
But one must understand the spent premium may never come back.
@ksksat, IS the below understanding correct considering ITM Call and Put writing.
Suppose current Nifty spot price is at 11700. Will the below strategy work considering different market conditions/possibilities.
Sell one lot of Nifty 11500CE at the premium of 250. Sell one lot of Nifty 12000PE at the premium of 260 of the same month on the expiry day with the fixed Stop Los i.e. 30 points.
1) Nifty closes at 11800.
Call option SL will hit and loss will be 30 points (250 - 280).
Put option premium and Intrinsic value also comes down and will get the profit of 70 i.e. (260 - [260-100] - 30 Call option premium).
2) Nifty closes at 11600.
Put option SL will hit and loss will be 30 points (260 - 290).
Call option premium and Intrinsic value also comes down and will get the profit of 60 i.e. (250 - [260-100] - 30 Put option premium)
3) Nifty remains range bound and closes at 11730.
Call premium will increase by 15 (considering Delta is less than 0.6) points and loss will be 15 (250 - 265).
Put option premium and Intrinsic value also comes down and will get the profit of 0 i.e. (260 - [260-15] - 15 Call option premium).
OR
Call premium will increase and trigger the Stop Loss.
Put option premium and Intrinsic value also comes down to 15 but final calculation will be loss i.e. loss of 15 i.e. (260 - [260-15] - 30 Call option premium).
4) Nifty remains range bound and closes at 11705 or 11695.
Stop Loss will not be triggered and final calculation will be in profit considering the LTP and buy premium.
5) Or will it better to sell DITM of Call and Put to get the benefit of Delta?