I assume island bearish reversal is what he meant because of the gaps.
2 Likes
I believe its a speculative fall. As today was Sensex expiry.
Sellers got into trouble as puts that were written got in the money situation.
If u look there was actually no increase in volume across stocks and indices.
Which might be an indication of a speculative fall.
I think market would gain back all those lost point in coming days.
1 Like
There already seems to be a island(blue). I think @Funancee is predicting an another island(orange). If it opens gap down with no retracement back into the gap, it may signal bearish reversal.
1 Like
Both these statements seem to be contradicting each other. If option sellers had to sell(who wonât be playing stocks outside expiry), why didnât the volume increase?
Also why did it become so bad in the first place that writers had to sell?
I might be wrong. But here goes my understanding.
When the price goes in the money for put sellers they sell FUTURES to mitigate the loss.
Or it can also be because large option sellers are Delta hedged.
This creates futures and spot to go down. Its a loop and can create a spectacular fall.
Regardless of the reason⌠be it market manipulation or something else, once a clear support level is breached or thereâs a spectacular fall, it creates mental anchoring to that price level. Itâll be hard to reclaim previous territory. Iâm also expecting a bounce, but only to short.
Jason also selling⌠
And you are buying today. 
Knowing NIFTYâs nature, itâs hard to expect any commitment or follow through on yesterdayâs rout. Still, planning to sell on rise⌠will wait for any significant signs of reversal from resistances with very small position size.
Is there any rules regarding this ? Is it okay to share screenshot of PROFIT OR LOSS. Right ?
Do you really? Going by its nature it should always go up.
Yeah. Investors want short covering later.
Yes. Trump has started this war to complete that line.
1 Like
Youâre assuming NIFTY dropped because of Trump or war. Like I said before, itâs just moving towards itâs fair value. Geopolitical tensions are all just triggers. As to why TA works, I explained this below:
To illustrate, GIFTY wasnât predicting that much gap down in the morning. Big players wanted to draw this island and therefore they made this gap.
1 Like
While the Island bear pattern itself is only slightly bearish at the time of creation of pattern, that pattern actually signals more bearishness, which again seems correct in hindsight.
Again all this non sense.
Starting 2020 till end of the 2025 nifty has given 14 % CAGR.
Starting 2008 till end of the 2025 nifty has given 9 % CAGR
Trump is ultra rowdy
1-kidnaping leader (venezula)
2-Murder Leader (iran)
3-Threatining Leader (India , etc )
why the world still keep the mouth shut , its really stupid , who elect the stupid in usa
1 Like
better in FD and bond without tension we can get this , why e need to invest in market
1 Like
What about dividends and ups and downs. If you hold ETF you donât have to pay tax until you sold it.
In FD you have to pay tax every year if youâre earning more than basic exemption limit.
You can make compounding return on unrealised gain.
