Does anyone of you have long long straddle experience on stocks, or all of you have experienced with only Nifty and Bank Nifty?
Although I may have experienced price of stocks going the opposite direction of expectation, I don’t remember them now, so I am unable to connect them here.
I think it is easy to place long straddle on stocks than Nifty because I think Nifty making big moves in the opposite direction is tough to predict, unless it is a volatile market, up one day, down the other, and it is relatively easy to predict for individual stocks, as there will be many stocks from many sectors with many businesses.
I had this crazy idea a while ago though I never tested it properly and said to myself it’s the best risk free return or it’s too good to be true or I am just purely gambling.
For long straddle, ideal conditions are chaos, market gaps , black swan etc . Almost all weekends have weekend volatility which is in our favor. So test it this way
Every Friday , just 5 mins before market close execute a long straddle (ATM only ).
On Monday after first 30 mins exit irrespective of whether you are profit or loss after market open volatility is dead.
Having a weekend volatility + some news events happening on Sunday is cherry on top because on Monday price will definitely move a lot.
Now I never tested it properly but just made a observation. If it does work for you , do update here !