Highlight technical analysis, news, fundamental analysis of commodities like Gold,Silver,Oil,NG etc
I am invested in Edelweiss Gold & Silver Fund. I like it. Expense ratio and exit load is very low.
Actually nice time to buy gold and silver now.
It is still in a down trend slope though
yup..i think that is exactly when to purchase… it should fall more then i will purchase more. i am getting some lic principle next month i will put everything in this an sit for a long time… good and silver are very cheap now in my view. 1 gm of silver is more cheaper than my regular zomato order!
Gold has the potential to fall more, especially if the AI wind-down turns into panic selling and traders sell gold & bonds to cover margin calls. This would be the perfect entry. ![]()
But $4k/oz is a good entry price (small size) if you must have a position. ![]()
Have nothing to say about the fund itself but my past research has shown that addition of silver to a portfolio doesn’t do well in the long run. Both absolute returns and drawdowns were better with just holding gold.
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This is nothing but true
. Also too much volatility when it comes to investing. But personally I believe in silver. I think it has an unbelievable huge potential considering its applications and the direction the world is heading. 10 or 15 years from now and i think it will be somewhere we never imagined - including gold. its just my view… in 2007 i remember vividly my father gifting me some gold and i would have never thought then it would be somewhere near 16k -17k market for just 1 gram of it. Its gov job to distract people with bitcoin and other stuff ![]()
Based on Future CFD charts and delayed information about Gold & Silver , my opinion is that Gold has more downside then The Silver , both are over sold on Daily chart and small bounces are happening In both Gold & silver on longer timeframe . double bottom pattern has failed , present chart patterns are similar to the chart patterns of 2011-12 at that time also silver corrected more than the Gold , these are my assumptions, i may be wrong , If i have to consider Economic value of these two , i think on one side USA drags down the Gold on other side China Russia will try to push up the Gold , and also i think If War ends and demands for Electronics comes down , Silver will correct more
Any thoughts on manipulation of commodity prices? Like do you think is this possible? Because if that is the case, it becomes very difficult to believe the charts ![]()
I believe its not the case of Manipulation , Commodities are mainly depends on Demand supply and can be manipulated by a Big US Banks or entitles like JS , can be manipulated for the shorter term but not on for a very long period of time , so i am referring long term charts to simplify i removed other indicators and if you look at the volume which can be trusted , on long term charts , sell side volume is increasing both for Gold & Silver . From start of the October 2026 & November Gold contracts i put it in watch list and noted down the LTP of the day , still today sell side gained the most . still , at the end its demand and supply only , also these are my assumptions and is at your discretion.
China’s central bank added 25.8 tonnes of gold to its reserves in October, extending its buying streak to 24 months, even as bullion prices fell nearly 7% during the month.
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okay thanks! No I am just learning everyday and not questioning any approach. Its nice to know new people and the way everyone approaches is different and interesting. There is so much to learn from everyone.. so thanks for explaining your view.
Btw does the red volume bar below red candle mean all that volume was selling? I remember reading somewhere that was not the case. Not sure though ![]()
Normally , yes , the red candle indicates the selling , we cannot just relay on Volume bar , so to cross verify i used an Indicator by name OBV which is normally measures the buy & sell intensity , and is dropping , indicating the sell side also i cross checked with the momentum indicator all are on negative side only .
By the way , TA helps the Trading or Investing edge by 25 to 40 % Rest depends on Position sizing & Money management
I think China is buying Gold as a hedge against the Dollar , may be China is interested in for alternate for the Dollar by buying Gold ,
After reading about China buying spree in Gold ,with enormous quantity absorbing huge selling , as a contrarian view point if i look at Gold chart , Gold consolidated from 2021 to 2024 and created a huge flag format , corrected more than 25 % from the top and now at the trend line support and double bottom or W format be , Not necessarily a picture perfect , so gold may break out on up side and also lot many buying in to the Gold , big player China on buy side , In market , i do believe simple & Contra view works better not to lose up side in Gold , also to reduce down side risk , , if i have to long on Gold , i would do reverse pyramiding , this is my contra opinion only , not any reco.




