Three months ago I started logging every trade because I wanted to stop lying to myself about my performance. No gut feeling, no “I’m profitable overall” without proof. Just raw numbers.
After 23 trades, the first thing that shocked me: 34.8% win rate. I’m losing more than I’m winning. But my equity curve trends upward.
The reason is sitting in one number my Avg Loss is exactly -1.00R. Every single loss, I cut it right there. No hoping it comes back, no moving the stop. Meanwhile my wins run. That’s the only reason this works.
What the data actually exposed though is where I get in my own way. 4 rule breaks in 23 trades sounds small. It isn’t. Look at the tail end of the equity curve that recent dip maps directly to a 4-trade loss streak where FOMO and revenge trading quietly took over. The 82.6% discipline score looks decent until you realise 17.4% of my decisions weren’t decisions at all.
Still a small sample size and I’m not profitable enough to be teaching anyone anything. But tracking this has shown me more about how my brain works under pressure than any book or course has.
Curious if anyone else tracks their R:R this way does your win rate actually matter if the R is right?
