Prediction markets on Polymarket are tracking outcomes across 5 states & UTs.
Counting & Results:
May 4, 2026 (all 824 seats)
What the markets say:
- West Bengal: AITC 53% vs BJP 47% — closest race ($5M vol)
- Tamil Nadu: DMK leading at 71% ($17M vol — biggest market)
- Kerala: CPI(M) 52% vs INC 49% — nail-biter!
- Assam: BJP overwhelming favourite at 95%
$22M+ already traded across election markets.
In the US, you can legally trade on events like elections, inflation, even Fed decisions through prediction markets.
In India, regulations are far tighter these kinds of markets don’t operate locally.
So the question is:
Does restricting them protect users…
or limit access to a powerful information tool?
*Created with gpt