Nifty nowadays not going anywhere but dancing very nicely , very worst index in the world in 2025 - all world market are all time high , if world market down for one day - nifty is following the same , if world market is up - our market is not seeing there ,
all the problem because of FM and SEBI
How?
Markets should only go up? I would have been surprised if we had broken ATH so early. I was/is expecting that to happen in Dec or after that. So in my opinion, our index is totally fine.
After all that dancing, NIFTY closes with a huge positive…lol The initial dance is to buy options at peanuts price by Jane traders and associates.
And for some retailers who are brave enough. 
That kind of bravery will cost them in the long run. Every veteran knows money that is gained by excessive risk(i.e., bravery) will be given back to the market with interest, either sooner or later. The huge win hooks them like a drug and they won’t stop chasing the high.
So buying puts isn’t risky? Basically options are only risky. So I see same risk on both sides. What am I missing ?
“Bravery” implies excessive risk… Say staking 30% of your capital in a YOLO trade. Strategy doesn’t matter.
Ah. That’s not for me. For me it was basically buy the dip. 0.5 percent of my capital. That’s it.
Dec series in November calendar month.
So partially right. Partially wrong. 
Nifty Target for 2026
Fy26? I had given earlier. 26342. Looks like it will hit tomorrow at open.
After touching 26300
Market have no strenth , if DII stop buy then irs will be free fall
nifty is one day going up another day going down , i think nifty will never go up , because INR going free fall , GOVT is not doing anything , FII will sale now very fast , but one joke is
some analytic told to cnbc not one many told market will take new high in june - small cap are bleeding , mutual fund investor will fear what will happen if our market will act like Japanese market - no one guess – equity always risky , mutual fund investor will skip investing if market will not make high i believe , market is dancing like this , then market have more chance to fall in a big way or not going anywheere
Give it some time. We will make new highs soon. And then you will say there is no reason to go up. It’s only going up and up everyday.
@Jason_Castelino - see the situation , how nifty will go up - its will go up and down only
LTCG and STCG are big headache for FIIs - simply these govt increase tax on his mind - FIIs whatever the news , they are continuselly selling , its clearly seen they pull out here ant they invsted other market - its not easy they will come back on this usdinr rate
the economy have a severe problem here , so only RBI cut rate
Nifty is up 10 percent this FY in 8 months. How much more should it go? In a year we can expect 12 to 15 percent. So these side ways movements are required. After it’s done, we will go to 30k in Fy27.
But if you expect directional move, it won’t happen.
This is my opinion on nifty.
About FIIs. For now they are selling. Even after so much selling we aren’t falling. So imagine if and when they come back. We will have straight 1500 points rally in one month.
About inr. There are multiple reasons for falling rupee and yes FIIs don’t like it. Everything has a limit. It will reverse soon. Now soon can be a year. Or soon can be as soon as Zerodha gets new features.
Ok mr jason , i hope , its good means - good for all
what feature is zerodha is bringing
Hahaha. That was just on the lighter side.
Of all that i said, you only noted that.
I don’t know if it’s good or bad. It was just my opinion on nifty.
That’s because they are not selling at market price , but staggering their sells across months. If they wanted to, they could crash at any point. No one likes to sell at a loss. I’m expecting a good crash and >=93 usdinr before Mar’26. If we’re lucky, India will be forced to a trade deal by US at US terms at that point.
We will absorb all that they sell. They will end up buying at higher price. May be because of currency depreciation, it will nullify their opportunity loss.
That’s 3 percent depreciation from current levels. Can happen.
What’s a good crash in your opinion? 20 percent down from current level before FY26 ends?
I am not ultra bullish. Anyways my target was 26300 by FY26. So consolidation is making sense to me. So in my opinion we are rightly priced at nifty level. May be some 2 percent premium if we discount my target by 4 percent for 4 months to go.
No view here. But from news i see that some deal can happen this week. May be just speculation.
