Nifty’s bearish run continues, closes lower for fifth month in a row



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Market Overview

Nifty opened slightly higher at 22,568.95, gaining around 20 points, but after hitting an intraday high of 22,613.13 within the first five minutes, it quickly lost momentum. The index dropped 60 points to 22,550 and remained within a narrow 30-point range for the rest of the session. It eventually closed flat at 22,545.05, down 0.01%.

This marks a market trend where the index has closed lower for five consecutive months since October 2024, a first in 29 years. Market sentiment continues to remain cautious with FII outflows and tariff concerns, as investors await key US Core PCE and GDP data for both the US and India tomorrow, which will influence market movements.



Broader Market Performance:

Although the headline indices closed flat, the broader market showed weakening breadth, with declining stocks outnumbering advancers. Of the 2,936 stocks traded on the NSE today, 571 advanced, 2,292 declined, and 73 remained unchanged.

Sectoral Performance:

The top-gaining sector for the day was Nifty Metal, which closed 0.50% higher, while Nifty Media was the biggest loser, dropping 3.58%. Out of the 12 sectoral indices, only three—Nifty Metal, Nifty Bank, and Nifty Service—closed in green, while the remaining nine ended in red, indicating overall weak market sentiment.









Note: The above numbers for Commodity futures were taken around 4 pm.

Note: DII-FII Data for today is not yet released by NSE

Change in OI for the day



The following is the change in OI for Nifty contracts expiring on 6th March:

  • The maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is observed at 23,000, followed by 22,600 indicating strong resistance at these levels. First strong resistance levels shall most likely be at 22,600 followed by 22,800.
  • The maximum Put Open Interest (OI) is at 22,500, followed by 22,600 suggesting strong support at 22,500, with additional support at 22,300.

Note: OI is subject to multiple interpretations, but generally, an increase in the call OI indicates resistance in a falling market, and an increase in the put OI indicates support in a rising market.

Source: Sensibull


Tijori is an investment research platform, and they have constructed niche indices for various themes and sub-sectors. They help you understand the market performance of narrow slices of the market. You can also track the Promoter buying and other interesting stuff like Capex activity by the companies in the Tijori App’s idea dashboard.




What’s happening in India

India’s passenger vehicle sales are expected to grow 4-7% in FY26, while two-wheeler volumes may rise 6-9%, supported by improved rural demand, ICRA reported. Commercial vehicle growth will be marginal, with M&HCVs, LCVs, and buses projected to grow 0-3%, 3-5%, and 8-10%, respectively. Dive deeper

The proposed tariff hike at Delhi Airport will raise domestic airfares by 1.5-2%, with the Yield Per Passenger increasing to ₹370 from ₹145. The revised charges include airline and passenger fees, with consultations ongoing for approval. Dive deeper

Assam secured investment commitments worth ₹4.78 lakh crore at its two-day business summit, including ₹2.75 lakh crore through 270 agreements. Major industry leaders pledged ₹1.25 lakh crore, while the government committed ₹78,000 crore for infrastructure development. Dive deeper

Public sector banks drove the infra bond boom, raising 90% of the ₹89,588 crore issued in the first 11 months of FY25, up 75% from ₹51,081 crore a year ago. The surge comes as deposit growth lags credit expansion, with infra bonds offering a competitive funding alternative. Dive deeper

Wipro announced a $200 million (₹1,740 crore) investment in Wipro Ventures to support early to mid-stage tech startups. This fourth funding round aims to accelerate innovation and collaboration in IT services. Wipro shares rose 9.33% in the past year, outperforming its sector. Dive deeper

Paytm partnered with Perplexity to integrate AI-powered search into its app, enabling users to ask questions, explore topics in local languages, and make informed financial decisions. The collaboration enhances digital literacy and supports Paytm’s vision of AI-driven financial inclusion. Dive deeper

Bank Nifty ended its four-day losing streak after the RBI reversed its decision to increase risk weights on bank loans to NBFCs. The move, effective April 2025, will free up capital and boost lending capacity, driving gains in major banks and small finance banks, some of which surged up to 4% intraday. Dive deeper

Wires and cable stocks tumbled up to 21% on February 27 after UltraTech Cement announced its entry into the segment. Polycab and RR Kabel fell 19% each, KEI Industries dropped 21%, while Havells India and Finolex Cables declined 6% each, erasing over ₹33,000 crore ($4 billion) in market value. UltraTech plans to invest ₹1,800 crore over two years to expand into this space. Dive deeper

The Nifty IT index extended its decline for the sixth straight session on February 27, falling over 6% since February 19, as concerns over a slowing US economy triggered heavy selling in technology stocks. Nine of the ten IT index constituents traded in the red, except Wipro, which gained slightly due to its startup investments. Investor sentiment weakened after US data signaled declining consumer confidence, rising inflation expectations, and slowing business activity, impacting India’s export-driven IT sector. Dive deeper



Godrej Properties Ltd. sold over ₹1,000 crore worth of homes in its newly launched project, Godrej Evergreen Square, in Pune’s Hinjewadi. Launched in November 2024, the project saw 1,398 homes sold, covering 1.23 million sq. ft., within four months of land acquisition. Dive deeper

Senores Pharmaceuticals inaugurated a new greenfield API plant in Mehsana, Gujarat, increasing its production capacity and competitiveness in the regulated markets, primarily benefiting its CDMO/CMO business. Dive deeper

Bharti Airtel confirmed that it is in talks with the Tata Group to explore a potential merger of Tata Play’s DTH business with its subsidiary, Bharti Telemedia Ltd. Dive deeper

GE Power India secured a contract addition worth INR 2,735 million for Hydro Business, enhancing the Saundatti PSP project. Dive deeper

Kothari Industrial Corporation Ltd signed an MoU with the Government of Assam to invest ₹500 Crores in minerals and mining focused on rare earth and critical minerals. Dive deeper

What’s happening globally

Nvidia’s profit surged 80% to $22.09 billion in Q4, with revenue up 78% to $39.33 billion, driven by strong AI chip demand. Despite concerns over data centre spending and geopolitical challenges, Nvidia remains dominant, with its new Blackwell chips contributing $11 billion in sales. Dive deeper

European natural gas futures rose 6% to €44/MWh amid US-EU trade dispute concerns, rebounding from a two-month low. Prices remain 25% below February’s peak, driven by mild weather, easing storage mandates, and US-led Ukraine peace talks. Dive deeper

U.S. new single-family home sales fell 10.5% in January 2025 to 657,000, missing estimates of 680,000, as high mortgage rates and severe weather impacted demand. Sales dropped in the South (-14.8%), Midwest (-16.7%), and Northeast (-20.0%), while the West rose 7.7%. The median price was $446,300, and inventory stood at 494,000 units, equal to 9.0 months of supply. Dive deeper



The Eurozone’s Economic Sentiment Indicator rose to 96.3 in February 2025, a five-month high, from 95.3 in January, slightly above forecasts. Industrial and consumer sentiment improved, while confidence in services declined and remained unchanged for retailers. Dive deeper

UK car production fell 17.7% in January 2025 to 78,012 units, marking the 11th straight monthly decline due to plant restructuring and weak demand. The industry urges government support amid trade uncertainty and manufacturing challenges, with SMMT CEO Mike Hawes calling for urgent investment. Dive deeper

Spotify CEO Daniel Ek urged the EU to act against Apple for stalling compliance with the Digital Markets Act. He criticized its restrictions on alternative app stores, with the EU set to rule by March, risking fines of up to 10% of global revenue. Dive deeper

Mexico’s trade deficit widened to $4.6 billion in January 2025, exceeding the expected $3.8 billion, as imports rose 5.9% to $49 billion while exports increased 5.5% to $44.4 billion. Non-oil exports grew 8.7%, led by mining (+15.2%) and manufacturing (+8.8%), while oil exports fell 40.6%. Shipments to the U.S. rose 10.6%, while exports to other regions saw minimal growth. Dive deeper

Brazil’s unemployment rate rose to 6.5% in January 2025, the highest in five months, as high inflation and a weak currency pressured the labour market. The unemployed population increased 5.3% to 7.2 million, while net employment fell 0.6% to 103 million. Average real wages grew 1.4% to R$3,343 monthly. Dive deeper

Switzerland’s GDP growth slowed to 0.2% in Q4 2024 from 0.4%, the weakest since Q2 2023, as key sectors lost momentum. Manufacturing rebounded, while mining and entertainment contracted. Net trade boosted growth, with exports up 7% and imports rising 2.8%. Dive deeper

Spain’s inflation rose to 3% in February 2025, the highest since June, driven by higher electricity prices. Core inflation fell to 2.1%, the lowest since December 2021. The EU-harmonized CPI increased 2.9% year-on-year and 0.4% monthly. Dive deeper


Management chatter

In this section, we pick out interesting comments made by the management of major companies and policymakers of the Indian and Global Economy.

Piyush Goyal, Union Commerce and Industries Minister on Industries becoming competitive

“Till when can we look up to the government (for support)? Or, till when can we win on crutches of subsidies and support, incentives, high import duties, the protectionist mindset, and being very defensive in our engagement with the world? We as a nation will have to decide to get out of this protectionist mindset and weak-kneed thinking,” - Link

Pradeep Kumar Aggarwal, Signature Global Chairman

"We will achieve zero net debt during the next financial year,’

The company would focus on a price bracket of Rs 2-5 crore per unit. “In this price bracket there is a huge demand but limited supply.” - Link


Calendars

In the coming days, we have the following significant events and corporate actions:





That’s it from us. Do let us know your feedback in the comments and share it with your friends to spread the word.

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