Nifty's Valuation - What's your take?

With Nifty correcting 2000++ points (10-15%) from the Top, Midcaps and Small Caps correcting 20-25% , The question that most of the investors and even traders ask and wonder - Aur kitna girega ?

There are so many factors involved which have to be taken into consideration.

1. PE Ratio - Comfort in Valuation emerging ?

Source : https://nifty-pe-ratio.com/

The Current PE level is near 21.35 which is near about the historic average zone of 22-23. What needs to be considered though is how the next 12 month earnings growth is going to be and the impacts headwinds like Inflation, War have on markets.

Assuming worst case scenario in terms of impact by war and Inflation, it would be safe to assume that we have a cushion of maybe 5-7% more fall in the index.

My Assessment : With the worst being factored in, we are reaching the levels where value should definitely emerge in the indices.

As we can’t take invest only on basis of PE ratio, I’ll also try to share the other studies whichever are relevant to the topic here in this thread.

Do share your views and studies about how you are currently viewing nifty’s valuation.

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PE ratio

Nifty’s Trailing twelve month PE ratio is back to the panic levels of 2020 and is now below the 10 year rolling average.

Source : Sahil kapoor

Sure, but the goal posts have been moved, and this PE is now calculated on consolidated basis, not standalone like earlier.

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