Stars are aligning in favour of India's manufacturing theme - Thread

Apple - India vs China vs USA - Cost comparison

Image courtesy - JP Morgan

Costs will go up only by 2% if Apple shifts its production base to India when compared to China. I frankly didn’t expect it to be that low.


US-China Trade War is becoming a catalyst for India’s manufacturing growth

Image: Nomura

According to Nomura, India is likely to keep its tariff advantage because it moved early on in the trade talks. India and the U.S. have already agreed on a basic framework for a trade deal, which sets the path for future talks. Lets see how many conversions we will see from the above list in the image

As per them, there are a few risks/ key factors to consider, though:

  • India must pair its tariff advantage with strong ease-of-doing-business reforms, as companies still consider alternatives like Vietnam.
  • India relies on Chinese imports for key components, and delays in importing machinery—such as for iPhone production—could slow supply chain shifts.
  • Chinese exporters may use Indian firms to reroute goods to the U.S. under joint branding or commission-based models, raising concerns over indirect trade routes

It’s been a whie since my last sectoral update. I’ll try to be active from now. There are lot of interesting themes out there in market right now.

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