Timing the markets is nearly impossible. Even if you’re lucky enough to catch the best days, your returns aren’t drastically better than someone who invests regularly or even at the worst possible times.
Source: CapitalMind MF, you can read the full analysis here.
Haven’t done testing myself yet for investing, and yes just buy and hold is fine if you can manage fear and greed and don’t vomit when things get tough - but as an opposite view, i remembered this podcast.
Don’t ask me anything, saw this few years back. For most people who cannot track and are emotional, probably best to not bother. But Mutual fund guys do have an incentive to spread studies like above cause they make money off commission.
In my experience a robust Stop n Reverse System (with an edge) that is always in the market Long or Short can hands-down beat Buy n Hold.
A nibble and dibble strategy that is not always in the market will struggle to beat Buy n Hold in a bull market.
