Hi so for today’s market there is a short straddle trade which was executed it ended in overall loss would want to know your thoughts on what could have been better and any other advise that you would have
nifty 17100 CE @ 131
nifty 17100 pe @ 127
As market went down sl hit for pe at 191
holding the ce till full market end hours finally exited it at 125 overall a loss
Let me know what could have been better and any advise that you would have
What I think is as options are risky, it is better to check the strategies before deploying in real time. We will know how much we can gain or lose before market opens. Of course, as the premiums change, the gain and loss will change too, but we will have good idea before hand.
And we can even try different adjustment scenarios to either increase the gain or decrease the loss before and can be ready when market opens, not that market will not surprise us, but we will have some idea about the loss at least, particularly when we are selling.
I use Sensibull, so I am saying this. I don’t know about Opstra.
so how i got to this is i had bought the subscription of opstra there it had the option simulator in that i rigorously tested straddles purely intraday and it showed good results in log terms payoff was positive so after that i did paper trades and then executed it
from the first day of real deployment out of 17 trading days red are only 2
Problem is that when in green i exited it very early and like the example of today when in red i tend to hold it as per the rules that i had backtested result is that thse two days have eaten up the green days and net now in 0
So I wrote this here hoping to seek some advise on probably something that i was doing wrong
So you are not taking positional trades and are deploying these strategies intraday only, and booked profits early and waited till EOD for the market to reverse? Why are you booking profits early, did you not have target and stop loss before taking the trade?
I don’t know if back testing rules work 100% the same in live market, particularly when market is unpredictable with calls and puts both going up and down.
And what was your view for today, did you choose short straddle thinking market will be range bound?
On a side note, no gain or no loss after 17 trades does not look that bad, compared to the experience you got in the market.
Probably you are right i should still to green days as i stick to red and today yes i was aiming it to be range bound and the premiums were good so 100 points plus minus i was good but I guess probably the gamma spiked and it resulted in this
It will work most of times but one good gap up or down will erode entire profits made . And also it depends on which day you take it . Might not work from Thursday to Friday on many days . Plus it is assuming premium decay but what if premiums are building up before any event or volatility grows . And there is something we can’t measure ie market sentiment, one value may increase and other won’t bulge . Bottomline lot of understanding is required before you you do it naked . Till then hedge positions with option buy at otm, but it will eat away much of the profit, though you can take more lots due margin benefit but more lots means it kinda becomes leveraged and beats the purpose of risk management
Hi I tried th sensibull vwap and option price which you had shared and had a few questions to it like this is the logic of you buy the spikes and then exit on the cools as we are on the short side and would want to collect Max premium,
Also if you have a detailed video somewhere or an article that you could share for this which explains it step by step i think that would be a good start for me to actually have the comparison in real market hours as well and then i can tie this back to my exiting strategy for effectiveness
There is no one size fits all shirt.its upto your risk profile, duration of strategy of what you want to do.For youtube i doesn’t have any channel but if you type Straddle there will be 1000s of videos as its the most sold strategy on the planet .Every tom dick and harry is selling courses on Straddles with 100s of varieties.
Bottom line is Risk management, Position sizes, IVs and Direction. No fix formula
Just one quick question and let me know if my understanding is correct
Given spot is at 17000 then if i look for a otm option which has approx delta of .16 and approx theta of say 5 so this would mean that irrespective of where the market goes i can expect roughy about 3 points coming from thins taking the other points to go away for when the gamma spikes just in case
Then just see option chain ,price and delta . Read about synthetic future, Analyse sum of Atm premium over time ,difference in premium between 2 strikes etc.Rest you will understand yourself,also do paper trading.
It never does.
It’s not linear. It’s based on the second order of derivatives. [Simplier words - You don’t do risk-reward in Adani when there is news on it. News = Fear = Premiums High = Why High? Think in greek’s perspective!]
If you tell just about any greeks, the risk-to-reward ratio is fairly complex.
But if you just tell the basic Option Premium stuff. Then Yes, it is same risk reward concept.