The price of Nifty 21800 CE not moving in direct proportion to the Nifty 50 index can be attributed mainly to time decay and Implied Volatility (IV):
- Time Decay: As the option approaches its expiry (15-Feb-24), its value can decrease even if the Nifty 50 goes up, due to the reduced time for the option to end in the money.
- Implied Volatility (IV): Changes in market expectations of volatility can affect the option’s price. A decrease in IV can offset gains from an increase in the underlying index.