Monthly returns from last 22 years show that Nov and December returns monthly wise on an average have been the highest both individually and also if we check the data based on consecutive months by far.
It might be due to what most players term as Santa rally till Christmas and Budget rally (specific to our markets)
Will we witness a similar bullish trend continue this time around or will 2022 prove to be unique as it has been so far?
Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 4.44 | 7.02 | -7.64 | -7.98 | -1.86 | 6.59 | -9.42 | 4.6 | -8.78 | -7.78 | 8.13 | -0.36 |
2001 | 8.56 | -1.48 | -15.04 | -2 | 3.79 | -5.14 | -3.16 | -1.78 | -13.28 | 6.35 | 9.8 | -0.76 |
2002 | 1.54 | 6.2 | -1.09 | -3.99 | -5.14 | 2.82 | -9.35 | 5.39 | -4.7 | -1.22 | 10.38 | 4.13 |
2003 | -4.72 | 2.07 | -8.01 | -4.51 | 7.79 | 12.65 | 4.56 | 14.39 | 4.46 | 9.79 | 3.81 | 16.38 |
2004 | -3.72 | -0.52 | -1.58 | 1.37 | -17.4 | 1.48 | 8.42 | -0.03 | 6.97 | 2.37 | 9.62 | 6.21 |
2005 | -1.1 | 2.22 | -3.21 | -6.54 | 9.73 | 6.37 | 4.13 | 3.13 | 9.09 | -8.86 | 11.86 | 6.95 |
2006 | 5.8 | 2.45 | 10.66 | 4.56 | -13.68 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 8.61 | 5.11 | 4.34 | 5.62 | 0.3 |
2007 | 2.93 | -8.26 | 2.04 | 6.97 | 5.09 | 0.52 | 4.88 | -1.43 | 12.49 | 17.51 | -2.34 | 6.52 |
2008 | -16.31 | 1.67 | -9.36 | 9.11 | -5.73 | -17.03 | 7.24 | 0.62 | -10.06 | -26.41 | -4.52 | 7.41 |
2009 | -2.85 | -3.87 | 9.31 | 15 | 28.07 | -3.55 | 8.05 | 0.55 | 9.05 | -7.32 | 6.81 | 3.35 |
2010 | -6.13 | 0.82 | 6.64 | 0.55 | -3.63 | 4.45 | 1.04 | 0.65 | 11.62 | -0.2 | -2.58 | 4.64 |
2011 | -10.25 | -3.14 | 9.38 | -1.44 | -3.29 | 1.57 | -2.93 | -8.77 | -1.15 | 7.76 | -9.28 | -4.3 |
2012 | 12.43 | 3.58 | -1.66 | -0.9 | -6.17 | 7.2 | -0.95 | 0.56 | 8.46 | -1.47 | 4.63 | 0.43 |
2013 | 2.2 | -5.66 | -0.18 | 4.36 | 0.94 | -2.4 | -1.72 | -4.71 | 4.82 | 9.83 | -1.95 | 2.07 |
2014 | -3.4 | 3.08 | 6.81 | -0.12 | 7.97 | 5.28 | 1.44 | 3.02 | 0.13 | 4.49 | 3.2 | -3.56 |
2015 | 6.35 | 1.06 | -4.62 | -3.65 | 3.08 | -0.77 | 1.96 | -6.58 | -0.28 | 1.47 | -1.62 | 0.14 |
2016 | -4.82 | -7.62 | 10.75 | 1.44 | 3.95 | 1.56 | 4.23 | 1.71 | -1.99 | 0.17 | -4.65 | -0.47 |
2017 | 4.59 | 3.72 | 3.31 | 1.42 | 3.41 | -1.04 | 5.84 | -1.58 | -1.3 | 5.59 | -1.05 | 2.97 |
2018 | 4.72 | -4.85 | -3.61 | 6.19 | -0.03 | -0.2 | 5.99 | 2.85 | -6.42 | -4.98 | 4.72 | -0.13 |
2019 | -0.29 | -0.36 | 7.7 | 1.07 | 1.49 | -1.12 | -5.69 | -0.85 | 4.09 | 3.51 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
2020 | -1.7 | -6.36 | -23.25 | 14.68 | -2.84 | 7.53 | 7.49 | 2.84 | 1.22 | 3.51 | 11.39 | 7.81 |
2021 | -2.48 | 6.56 | 1.11 | -0.41 | 6.5 | 0.89 | 0.26 | 8.69 | 2.77 | 0.37 | -3.89 | 2.18 |
2022 | -0.09 | -3.46 | 4.33 | -2.07 | -3.03 | -4.85 | 8.73 | 3.5 | -3.75 | 5.37 | ||
Average | -0.19 | -0.22 | -0.31 | 1.44 | 0.83 | 1.07 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.24 | 1.05 | 2.71 | 2.86 |
Source : Primeinvestor