Long term is the biggest scam

With each passing day in the stock market i am realizing that it is critical to book profits. Book profits when it is up 15-20% itself in a short period of time. Any type of asymmetric gains should be booked instead of getting greedy.

There is no such thing as long term. That is only to keep the markets stable. There is only a narrative to keep the structure stable. When shit hits the fan, and it always does in this world, the FII are almost always liquid. They don’t seem to have any issues cause they keep booking profits. They don’t sit on it and think that oh well i will stay long term i guess.

Long term is the biggest scam that has been sold to investors. It only helps in keeping the stock markets stable and avoid freezes and mass dumps. Retail investors become the exit liquidity and DII get their share from expense ratios. Individual investors end up being the ones who take the biggest hit.

Doesn’t matter if it is stocks or debt or mutual funds. Gains are gains. This current economic scenario has really shown the importance of profit booking. The markets won’t get any better just yet. So might as well book profits and stay liquid.

Seeing holdings go from +30% to -10% in a matter of days has made me realise when the gains are asymmetric then book profits. Forget about taxes, forget about future “possible gains”. Book profits and rotate capital.

Profit booking is the biggest lesson that needs to be taught to retail investors. It is shamed and shunned that don’t book profits. Don’t sell. Hold and hold and hold and when you die pass it on to the next generation for them to still hold. It “might” go up. It “might” grow. Shitty narratives being floated in this market every single day.

The world is not the same like what it was 20 years ago where there was no movement, no liquidity in the stock markets. Long term narrative no longer makes any sense. In 1990s NIFTY would hardly move and that is when it made sense to hold for years as it inched few points in few months. That is where long term investing made sense. Now in few days, some stocks move 10-20% itself. Who the hell gets that much percent gains in days. It was hard to get that much in a year, let alone in days now. When looking at a “longer” period, it seems like oh well NIFTY went sideways, but when you zoom in to shorter period chart then it shows how much movement was there, and there was scope to book like 30-40% profits if profits were actually booked.

Reliance reached the price it was in April 2025. Had someone booked profits, it would been a good thing but no hold long term. Bend over and sit and wait. Don’t book profits. Pass on your legacy so they remember you for your patience. Pass on your wealth instead of some paper holdings.

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True. The difference is like 7.5%(20%-12.5%), which may happen in a week.

It’s just F&O over a long period.

Exactly. In 1000 gains, the difference is like 75 rupees. You still get to keep the remaining 800 instead. Long term holding can just lead to the mourning the loss of full 1000 itself. But no, the narrative is - keep holding. You “may” get 2000 instead but that is not a guarantee. If you take the candy of future gains, i will let you keep the 75. So much brainwashing and narrative selling has been done.

The AMCs are no good either. They get their cut and paste disclaimers to avoid any accountability. If you are so big, so wealthy and so infleuntial, then why not bring bull runs in the market. If you have so much power? DII are pure cushions and not wealth builders. They are only strong enough as long as the SIPs are flowing. Once that stops coming in - and people are beginning to stop their SIPs more and more now - the real flaw in AMC and DII structure will be visible. They hold no real strength.

Even Quant AMC is increasing its cash position to wait for the market to bottom out now and they are shifting their plan to large cap now. Few years back even Sandeep Tandon also said that long term is an obsolete model now.

Long term to retail investors is like sugar to the brain. Gives you a dopamine hit but fries the brain and thinking receptors. Take it, and stay ignorant.

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Strongly agree that regular systematic profit-booking is a valid approach.
However, conflating not doing so, with “long term” is a mistake.
Long-term does not mean HODL.
Agreed, that anyone mixing-up those two is not being financially savvy.

The thought process that if not short-term, then HODL/YOLO is a false dichotomy!

Those aren’t the only 2 choices.
It is a range/spectrum of investment horizons.
Ideally determined by milestones/goals in one’s life.

Other aspects also touched-upon in this recent thread.

FWIW, the regulator appears to be keyed-in on this,
has recently updated the regulations to account for this and promote goal-based investing.

If you are making profit in option trading, you should invest that profit in stocks, etf or mutual funds or FD.

Option trading can wipe out all the funds in single event.

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