For normal investors like me, this move feels like the market direction is changing. My previous major near-bottom accumulation zone was around the 21Kβ23K area, and markets often revisit those levels during weak phases. But this time, I may have to accept lower levels instead of expecting strong accumulation there.
This looks more like a gradual trend change . Rising oil prices are already putting pressure on the Indian construction industry, transportation and material costs are increasing, and overall economic sentiment is slowing down.
Construction - The promised quoted project estimates vanishing due to ,material and labour increase
Migrant work force are migrating back to own state due to food supply , lower projects
Diesel cost increase (if happened) directly affects everything from JCB work to cement transport.
Builders are already facing higher labour and raw material costs, so new projects and existing may slow down.
Small contractors are becoming careful with new work because payment cycles are getting slower.
House construction budgets are going above original estimates, so many families are delaying finishing works and interior plans.
Steel, cement, sand and transport rate fluctuations are making cost calculation difficult even for small projects.
Many people are now preferring to hold cash instead of taking bigger financial risks.
Ground-level business activity feels slower compared like Hotels , restaurants , resort (tourism)
Petrol or diesel price increase may start the rise all our day to day expense like Food , travel etc
IT is one of the biggest income sources for working people outside government jobs.IT sector growth created spending power across housing, vehicles and retail. Any slowdown there can slowly affect the overall economy at ground level too.
So close yet so far. But we are making new swing lows even when the global markets are hitting ATHs. So it still looks possible, but this time we might go even lower because of time taken.
Looking at bond market, we might also be in for a multi year bear market.