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26200 nifty is a dream number
I had said FY27. Very much possible. We still have 11 months.
But since fundamentals are affected, it isn’t as easy as it was supposed to be. It was my base case target. Now it has become bull case target with base case down to 28k
If crude comes down to 80 levels by the end of May, I am still optimistic of reaching nifty target.
Just curious, how do you analyse uncharted territory? i appreciate if you can explain a little. No TA or FA conversation, just your analysis.
every day 400 point up and down
what is this market - bloddy
USDINR already dead currency -
On eof the worst market , one of the worst currency , one of the worst RBI , Fm
Most of the days it has been gap + noise.
Atleast today there was some trend, but might bounce at any point. Intraday no one takes falls seriously. Afternoon bouncs very common after morning fall.
yeh lo, bounce soon then as per Jason.
Man can you not wait till next day ? I have shorts !
from 2024 market is searching 26200
very weak
24k its now very hard
but i put 50k in whiteoak midcap fund
For intraday, this kind of bounce takes most of the profit out, esp for middle of the day entries as most of the move happened earlier.
If it happens most of the time, shorts dont make money. Not every day we get v reversal, but this type of bounce is very common these days.
Costs are very high so I cant really target small moves like this either.
The values I give are based on my analysis.
It’s based on law of averages, forward pe and eps of nifty companies, historical valuation etc. 30k looks like a random number thrown. It isn’t. As per my calculation using different parameters I feel the fair value of nifty should be 30170 in march 2027. So I made it as a round figure of 30k.
Now with changing fundamentals which changes my eps of nifty, new value comes around 28320.
When I feel nifty is at fair value, I have 50 percent in equity. Every 1 percent above that I sell one percent equity. And every one percent below i add 1 percent.
That’s it.
This is what I wanted. Now that you have started abusing our markets, government, rbi and sebi, may be the bottom is near. 
Hahaha. See. I told you. Should have read all posts first. I am sounding repetitive now. 
Then why short it when you can just make money with longs? 
Your take on Nifty sounds Like TA 
Just curious how USDINR or INR depreciation /Appreciation affects simple normal Life , are you living out of India?
It’s more of FA.
